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Recently, the General Office of the State Council issued the "Opinions of the General Office of the State Council on Strengthening the Energy-saving and Emission Reduction of the Internal-combustion Engine Industry" (hereinafter referred to as the "Opinions"), and recalled that the State Council executive meeting just made an effort to accelerate the upgrading of oil quality and strengthen the supervision of oil quality. It is easy to see that this series of actions is aimed at the smog-contaminated weather that has swept through large areas of the country recently, from fuel consumption to internal combustion engines for energy conservation and emission reductions. It is even more obvious that people in the industry generally believe that the "Opinions" will have a far-reaching impact on the passenger car market in the near future.
Will drive down the best-selling model
The "Opinions" proposes that in the passenger car engines, emphasis should be put on the promotion of direct supercharged direct injection technology. Below 2.0 liters, especially 1.6 liters, small-displacement petrol engines are encouraged to adopt supercharged and direct injection technologies to promote lightweight technologies.
At present, the "turbocharged" models on the market are in an explosive growth trend. In addition to German cars and American cars carrying turbocharged engines, Japanese brands and independent brands have gradually joined the "turbocharged" camp, "opinions". The introduction of this will inevitably lead to an increase in the number of low-emission turbochargers on the market. In this regard, the automotive industry generally welcomes the sympathetic attitude. Everyone unanimously believes that energy-saving and emission-reduction are the trend of the times. The promotion of policies will help speed up the process. Many manufacturers are also increasing the investment in R&D and production of turbocharged models. However, this also contains some hidden concerns, whether the core technology research and development can keep up? The resulting R&D, use, and maintenance costs increase consumer acceptance? As there are many uncertainties, the effect remains to be seen.
From the sale point of view, there are dealers that the "Opinions" for the 2.4 liters and above displacement models have little effect, but will drive down the displacement of the best-selling models, the small-displacement "turbo" development of the golden period is approaching.
Sales plan for new energy vehicles blocked
According to data released by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, 12,791 new energy vehicles were sold nationwide in 2012, including 11,375 pure electric vehicles. This figure is negligible compared with the overall sales of 19,306,400 vehicles in 2012 in China. The industry believes that there are three main factors that hinder the development of China's electric vehicle industry: From the demand point of view, consumers have little interest in electric vehicles; from the supply point of view, there are not many models available on the market; from a technical point of view, the key The core technology needs to be improved. One side is the slow sales of new energy vehicles, while the improvement of air quality can not wait. Therefore, the introduction of the "Opinions" may be a transition period for the development of hybrid new energy and pure electric vehicles.
In the "Energy-saving and New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2012-2020)" approved and approved by the State Council last year, it is proposed that by 2015, the cumulative production and sales volume of pure electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid vehicles will reach 500,000 vehicles. According to industry insiders, the introduction of the "Opinions" will increase the difficulty of achieving this goal, because for cost considerations, consumers are more willing to choose "turbo" models with low fuel consumption and strong power.